The stock market is flat as a pancake today, but it's close to record highs. With a trade war, Brexit and a global economic slowdown, what is supporting stocks?
Investors are "pricing in very positive outcome," said Alicia Levine, chief strategist at BNY Mellon, on CNN Business' "Markets Now" live show.
The market is pricing in another quarter-point rate cute from the Fed this year and again next year, a negotiated Brexit, no inflation and a trade truce, she noted. "The market is at an all time high and it’s pricing in very optimistic outcomes," Levine said.
The only negative sentiment weighing on stocks at the moment is earnings expectations for 2020. Currently, companies predict 11% growth next year, which is probably unreasonable.
"We're trading at 17 times next year's earnings," she said. We think 2020 estimates are too high."
Levine believes estimates will come down to 7-8% next year, which is "more reasonable."